Dokolo, Uganda | National Resistance Movement (NRM) flag bearer Joseph Jones Ogwal has maintained a commanding lead in the Dokolo North County parliamentary race, with just two days remaining to voting day, according to the latest opinion poll findings.
The opinion poll was conducted across all 43 parishes in the eight subcounties of Dokolo North, sampling at least 100 voters per subcounty, bringing the total number of respondents to not less than 800 voters.
The exercise was carried out by an independent intelligence team.
The findings indicate that a race which initially attracted six candidates has increasingly tilted in favour of the NRM candidate.
According to the aggregated results, Ogwal leads with 52.4%, placing him far ahead of his rivals.
He is followed by Moses Ogwal Goli (Independent) at 13.6%, Alfred Junior Okello (Democratic Front) at 12.8%, Francis Ojok (UPC) at 10.6%, Josephine Acen (Independent) at 8.9%, while Moses Ebyaru (NUP) trails with 1.8%.
Ogwal’s strongest showing is recorded in Okwalongwen Subcounty, where he commands 90% support, followed by Amwoma Subcounty at 75%.
He also posts comfortable leads in Bata Town Council (71%) and Bata Subcounty (50%), consolidating his dominance across much of the rural electorate.
In Adok Subcounty, Ogwal leads with 35%, followed by Alfred Junior Okello at 27% and Moses Ogwal Goli at 21%.
The race appears more competitive in urban and semi-urban centres.
In Agwata Town Council, Alfred Junior Okello tops the poll with 40%, narrowly ahead of Ogwal at 37%, making it one of the few areas where the NRM candidate does not lead.
Similarly, Agwata Subcounty shows strong independent backing, with Moses Ogwal Goli leading at 38%, closely followed by Ogwal at 36%.
In Dokolo Subcounty, voter preference is fragmented, Josephine Acen (Independent) leads with 30%, while Ogwal and Francis Ojok (UPC) are tied at 25% each.
Moses Ebyaru (NUP) records his highest showing here at 13%.
Despite pockets of competition in select subcounties, the overall trend from the opinion poll suggests that Joseph Jones Ogwal maintains a clear and consistent advantage across the constituency, positioning him as the frontrunner as voters prepare to cast their ballots.
Political observers note that unless there is a significant shift in voter sentiment in the final days, the NRM candidate is widely expected to maintain his lead when voting takes place in two days’ time.
